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Behavioral Decision Theory: A New Approach
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Behavioral Decision Theory: A New Approach Hardcover - 1994

by E. C. Poulton


From the publisher

This book discusses the well-known fallacies of behavioral decision theory. It shows that while an investigator is studying a fallacy, he or she may introduce without realizing it, one of the simple biases that are found in quantifying judgments. The work covers such fallacies as the apparent overconfidence that people show when they judge the probability of correctness of their answers to two-choice general knowledge questions using a one-sided rating scale; the apparent overconfidence in setting uncertainty bounds on unknown quantities when using the fractile method; the interactions between hindsight and memory; the belief that small samples are as reliable and as representative as are large samples; the conjunction fallacy for Linda and Bill; the causal conjunction fallacy; the regression fallacy in prediction; the neglect of the base rate in the Cab problem, in predicting professions, and in the Medical Diagnosis problem; the availability and simulation fallacies; the anchoring and adjustment biases; Prospect theory; and bias by frames. The aim of this book is to help readers to learn about the fallacies and to avoid them.

Details

  • Title Behavioral Decision Theory: A New Approach
  • Author E. C. Poulton
  • Binding Hardcover
  • Edition Reprint
  • Pages 336
  • Volumes 1
  • Language ENG
  • Publisher Cambridge University Press, New York
  • Date 1994-09-30
  • ISBN 9780521443685 / 0521443687
  • Weight 1.41 lbs (0.64 kg)
  • Dimensions 9.09 x 6.43 x 0.84 in (23.09 x 16.33 x 2.13 cm)
  • Library of Congress subjects Probabilities, Fallacies (Logic)
  • Library of Congress Catalog Number 93026636
  • Dewey Decimal Code 519.2
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Behavioral Decision Theory : A New Approach
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Behavioral Decision Theory : A New Approach

by Poulton, E. C

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Behavioral Decision Theory: A New Approach
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Behavioral Decision Theory: A New Approach

by Poulton, E. C.

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Cambridge University Press, 1994. This is an ex-library book and may have the usual library/used-book markings inside.This book has hardback covers. Clean from markings. In good all round condition. Dust jacket in good condition. Please note the Image in this listing is a stock photo and may not match the covers of the actual item,750grams, ISBN:9780521443685
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Behavioral Decision Theory: A New Approach
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Behavioral Decision Theory: A New Approach

by Poulton, E. C.

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9780521443685
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Cambridge University Press, 1994. This is an ex-library book and may have the usual library/used-book markings inside.This book has hardback covers. Clean from markings. In good all round condition. Dust jacket in good condition. Please note the Image in this listing is a stock photo and may not match the covers of the actual item,750grams, ISBN:9780521443685
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Behavioral Decision Theory: A New Approach
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