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Vega Factor
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Vega Factor Hardcover - 2011 - 1st Edition

by Kent Moors


From the publisher

How oil volatility is affecting the global political scene, and where the oil market is heading

The world is rapidly moving towards an oil environment defined by volatility. The Vega Factor: Oil Volatility and the Next Global Crisis takes an in-depth look at the most important topics in the industry, including strategic risk, why traditional pricing mechanisms will no longer govern the market, and how the current government approaches have only worsened an already bad situation.

  • Details the industry's players, including companies, traders, and governments
  • Describes the priorities that will need to be revised, and the policies needed to achieve stability
  • Explains how today's oil market is fundamentally different from the pre-crisis market

Oil prices affect everyone. The Vega Factor explains the new international oil environment of increasing consolidation and decreasing competition, and reveals how consumers and investors can navigate price volatility and new government policies.

From the rear cover

There is a sleeping dragon at the heart of the financial system. Soon the beast will awake and rear its terrible head, and we will look back on the days of the subprime disaster with nostalgia. In this riveting book by oil industry expert Kent Moors, you will meet the dragon he refers to as oil vega, and you'll discover why it poses such a grave threat to world economic and political stability.

Those familiar with the options and currency markets will recognize vega as the term traders use to denote the rate of price volatility. Expanding upon that traditional usage, Moors coined the expression oil vega to describe the dramatic increase of price volatility seen in the oil markets over the past several years. In The Vega Factor, he describes how, contrary to popular belief, the current environment of runaway volatility in the markets is not the work of diminishing reserves, manipulation by oil producing nations, or increased competition among nations. Rather, it is a result of a structural flaw in the trading system itself.

Oil futures contracts, Moors explains, while once a valuable source of liquidity and price stability, have exceeded their historic mandate, leading to an upending of the traditional relationship between "wet barrels" and "paper barrels." With oil now as much a financial asset as a commodity, and an oil derivatives market currently worth thousands of times more than the world's combined oil reserves, a perverse dynamic has evolved in which the price of crude chases the price of paper barrels in a race it can never win. In some of the most gripping passages of the book, Moors considers the global mayhem and destruction that will likely result from an ongoing failure by policymakers and industry to peg the value of oil--literally the fuel that drives industrialized economies--to anything more tangible than the greed, fear, and superstition of financial speculators.

In the closing chapters of The Vega Factor, Moors explores ways in which oil companies, governments, and traders must revise their priorities vis-à-vis oil, as well as the radically new strategic understanding of energy that will be required if we are to meet market realities in an age of oil vega. He also suggests steps consumers and investors can take to protect themselves against the depredations of oil price volatility.

We live in a world where the quality of everyone's life and the economic stability of every nation are directly tied to the price of oil. Read The Vega Factor and get to know the face of the dragon that even now is beginning to stir at the heart of global financial systems.

From the jacket flap

There is a sleeping dragon at the heart of the financial system. Soon the beast will awake and rear its terrible head, and we will look back on the days of the subprime disaster with nostalgia. In this riveting book by oil industry expert Kent Moors, you will meet the dragon he refers to as oil vega, and you'll discover why it poses such a grave threat to world economic and political stability.

Those familiar with the options and currency markets will recognize vega as the term traders use to denote the rate of price volatility. Expanding upon that traditional usage, Moors coined the expression oil vega to describe the dramatic increase of price volatility seen in the oil markets over the past several years. In The Vega Factor, he describes how, contrary to popular belief, the current environment of runaway volatility in the markets is not the work of diminishing reserves, manipulation by oil producing nations, or increased competition among nations. Rather, it is a result of a structural flaw in the trading system itself.

Oil futures contracts, Moors explains, while once a valuable source of liquidity and price stability, have exceeded their historic mandate, leading to an upending of the traditional relationship between "wet barrels" and "paper barrels." With oil now as much a financial asset as a commodity, and an oil derivatives market currently worth thousands of times more than the world's combined oil reserves, a perverse dynamic has evolved in which the price of crude chases the price of paper barrels in a race it can never win. In some of the most gripping passages of the book, Moors considers the global mayhem and destruction that will likely result from an ongoing failure by policymakers and industry to peg the value of oil--literally the fuel that drives industrialized economies--to anything more tangible than the greed, fear, and superstition of financial speculators.

In the closing chapters of The Vega Factor, Moors explores ways in which oil companies, governments, and traders must revise their priorities vis-à-vis oil, as well as the radically new strategic understanding of energy that will be required if we are to meet market realities in an age of oil vega. He also suggests steps consumers and investors can take to protect themselves against the depredations of oil price volatility.

We live in a world where the quality of everyone's life and the economic stability of every nation are directly tied to the price of oil. Read The Vega Factor and get to know the face of the dragon that even now is beginning to stir at the heart of global financial systems.

Details

  • Title Vega Factor
  • Author Kent Moors
  • Binding Hardcover
  • Edition number 1st
  • Edition 1
  • Pages 448
  • Volumes 1
  • Language ENG
  • Publisher Wiley, U.S.A.
  • Date 2011-05-31
  • Features Bibliography, Dust Cover, Index, Price on Product - Canadian, Table of Contents
  • ISBN 9780470602089 / 0470602082
  • Weight 1.45 lbs (0.66 kg)
  • Dimensions 9.06 x 6.34 x 1.43 in (23.01 x 16.10 x 3.63 cm)
  • Library of Congress subjects Petroleum industry and trade, Petroleum products - Prices
  • Library of Congress Catalog Number 2010053515
  • Dewey Decimal Code 338.232

Media reviews

Citations

  • Publishers Weekly, 06/06/2011, Page 0

About the author

KENT MOORS is Professor in the Department of Political Science and the Graduate Center for Social and Public Policy at Duquesne University, where he also directs the Energy Policy Research Group. An internationally recognized expert in oil and gas policy/finance and risk assessment, Kent is also President of the oil and gas consulting firm ASIDA, Inc., advising companies, financial institutions, law firms, and governments worldwide. He authors the Oil and Energy Investor, a twice-weekly advisory, the monthly Energy Advantage, and the investment alert service The Energy Inner Circle, and is a frequent contributor to Money Morning and contributing editor to the two leading post-Soviet oil and gas publications--Russian Petroleum Investor and Caspian Investor. Through an agreement with DeMatteo Monness, he provides specialized advisories to a broad range of Wall Street analysts, as well as investment, hedge fund, and capital and asset managers.

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