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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction.
by Silver, Nate
- Used
- Paperback
- Condition
- See description
- ISBN 10
- 0141975652
- ISBN 13
- 9780141975658
- Seller
-
Annandale, New South Wales, Australia
Payment Methods Accepted
About This Item
London: Penguin Books, 2013. Reprint ed.. Paperback large trade, very good condition, minor edgewear. 534 pp. Details the art of using statistics, probability and model-building as applied to prediction and forecasting in real-world situations. Many richly detailed case studies from baseball, elections, climate change, the financial crash, poker and weather forecasting. An important need is for improved expressions of uncertainty in all statistical statements, reflecting ranges of probable outcomes and not just single "point estimates" like averages. Silver rejects much ideology taught with statistical method in colleges and universities today. The problem he finds is a belief in perfect experimental, survey, or other designs, when data often comes from a variety of sources and idealized modelling assumptions rarely hold true. After Silver successfully called the outcomes in 49 of the 50 states in the 2008 U.S. Presidential election, he was named one of the World's 100 Most Influential People by Time magazine in 2009. (1 of 2 available copies.).
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Details
- Bookseller
- Bookhome Sydney
(AU)
- Bookseller's Inventory #
- 18132
- Title
- The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction.
- Author
- Silver, Nate
- Book Condition
- Used
- Edition
- Reprint ed.
- Binding
- Paperback
- ISBN 10
- 0141975652
- ISBN 13
- 9780141975658
- Publisher
- Penguin Books
- Place of Publication
- London
- Date Published
- 2013
- Keywords
- research methods, statistics, prediction, forecasting
- Bookseller catalogs
- RESEARCH & STATISTICS;
Terms of Sale
Bookhome Sydney
Parcels posted within Australia by Australia Post. Overseas parcels from Australia posted by Air Mail with full tracking (about 10 to 30 days delivery, but delays in post possible). Expertly wrapped. Genuine guarantee. We request extra postage for heavy books.
About the Seller
Bookhome Sydney
Biblio member since 2004
Annandale, New South Wales
About Bookhome Sydney
Friendly family-owned internet bookshop located in Sydney's inner west. Selling books since 1998 (online since 2000). A broad range of quality secondhand and antiquarian books, particularly Australian history and society (Australiana), psychology, health, animals/pets, environment, science, religion, books for children. Mostly nonfiction.
Glossary
Some terminology that may be used in this description includes:
- Reprint
- Any printing of a book which follows the original edition. By definition, a reprint is not a first edition.